Lessons for school boards from a large fire and a global pandemic

A photorealistic, wide-angle shot of a modern, minimalist office. Three young adults, two women and one man in their early 20s, are seated around a low, wooden rectangular table. They are intensely focused on filling out paper questionnaires with pens. The atmosphere is quiet and studious, lit by the soft, warm glow of a floor lamp in one corner and the cool, diffused light of a cloudy afternoon coming from a large window. Through an open doorway in the background, visible on the right side of the frame, thick, ominous grey smoke is billowing into the room, curling along the ceiling and beginning to descend. One woman, who is facing the doorway, has stopped writing and is looking over her shoulder directly at the smoke, her brow furrowed in confusion and a slight frown. The other woman and the man, remain completely oblivious, their heads bowed, focused solely on their questionnaires. Shafts of light cut through the smoke in the doorway, highlighting its texture. Style: Photorealistic, 8k resolution, hyper-detailed, cinematic lighting, shot on a 35mm lens with a shallow depth of field to keep the group in focus while slightly softening the smoke in the background. Here's a breakdown of the crucial components: 1. The Setting (The Stage) Location: A "modern, minimalist apartment living room." Think clean lines, simple furniture, maybe a plant, and neutral wall colors. This creates a calm, everyday contrast to the intrusion of the smoke. Lighting: This is critical for photorealism. Use "volumetric lighting" or "god rays" to describe the light beams interacting with the smoke. The combination of "warm" artificial light and "cool" natural light adds depth and realism. The Doorway: Place it clearly in the background on the right. It needs to be an open doorway, not just a hall, so the smoke has a defined entry point. 2. The Characters (The People) Group Dynamics: Specify "three young adults" and give them distinct features (e.g., "one with long dark hair, another with short blonde hair") to make them look like different individuals, not clones. The Confused Man: He is the key to the story. He needs to be positioned so he can see the doorway. His expression is "confused," not terrified. A furrowed brow and a questioning look are perfect. The Focused Women: They are the counterpoint. Their body language (heads bowed, shoulders slightly hunched over the table) should convey deep concentration, making their ignorance of the smoke believable. 3. The Action & The Anomaly (The Story) The Questionnaire: They are "filling in paper questionnaires with pens." This explains their focus. The papers should be visible on the table. The Smoke: This is the "character" in the background. It's "thick, ominous grey smoke" that is "billowing" and "curling." Using words like "texture" helps the AI render it realistically. It's important to specify it's only smoke, not fire, to keep the scene from becoming a disaster movie. 4. The Technical Aspects (The Photographer's Eye) Perspective: "Wide-angle shot" sets the scene and allows us to see both the group and the doorway. Depth of Field: "Shallow depth of field" is a photography term that tells the AI to keep the main subjects (the three people) sharp and in focus, while the background (the smoke) is slightly softer, drawing your eye to the people first, then to the anomaly. Resolution & Style: "Photorealistic, 8k" pushes the AI to create a high-fidelity, detailed image.

In 1968 two psychologists, John Darley and Bibb Latané, conducted a series of experiments to test what has become known as the Bystander Effect.  In one of their research experiments, Darley and Latané asked participants to sit quietly and fill in a questionnaire.  Sometimes the participant would be alone, and sometimes in a group of three. 

After some time, the researchers pumped smoke into the room.  For subjects who were sitting alone, 70% tended to note the smoke and calmly leave to report it.  However, when the subjects were in a group of three, only 40% of participants were likely to react.  The usual pattern was for all three to remain passive, reassured by the passivity of the others.

The Bystander Effect has real consequences.  On a glittering night in May 1977 at the Beverly Hills Supper Club, just outside Cincinnati (USA), about 1,200 diners filled a cabaret room with laughter, crystal, and anticipation.  A comedy duo warmed the crowd for the evening’s headliner, singer and TV personality John Davidson.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the sprawling complex in a small space known as the Zebra Room, a small fire had started.  The fire quickly found oxygen, then timber, then momentum.  There were no sprinklers, no alarms, and no public warning system to alert diners that the blaze was racing toward them.

An 18-year-old assistant waiter, Walter Bailey, saw the danger and tried to alert his supervisor in the cabaret room.  However, the supervisor simply looked confused, and then walked away.  So the teenager did what leadership sometimes demands.  He mounted the stage, voice shaking, and using a microphone calmly directed the audience to the exits.  He spoke clearly.  He named the threat.  He left the microphone and stepped down, expecting everyone to follow him to the exits.

Photorealistic, landscape format (16:9). A grand, opulent cabaret-style dining room in the Art Deco style. In the foreground, a crowded room of elegantly dressed men and women in evening gowns and tuxedos are laughing, drinking champagne, and enjoying a lavish multi-course dinner at tables adorned with white linen and flickering candles. The warm, golden glow of the room illuminates their contented faces. On a large stage at the back of the room, a single young man in a waiter's uniform stands frozen, his face a mask of alarm and concern, one arm outstretched as if pointing or pleading. His gaze is fixed on the main entryway at the rear of the room, where thick, ominous plumes of grey and black smoke are billowing in from the hallway beyond, creating a stark and terrifying contrast to the warm interior. The diners are completely oblivious to the danger. Cinematic lighting, high contrast, 8k resolution, hyper-detailed, sharp focus.

But the diners in the room did not move.  People glanced left and right, not for the exits, but for cues.  Who is this “young kid”?  Is this real?  Is this part of the act?  The tickets were expensive, the food was good, and the star had yet to sing.  In the absence of visible panic, doubt spread faster than urgency.  Each person waited for someone else to decide.  

Just four minutes later, the electricity failed and the lights went out in the ballroom.  Toxic smoke rolled into the room and everyone still there faced a very difficult challenge in getting out alive.  Walter Bailey held his breath and headed back into the cabaret room several times to drag as many people out of the room as he could manage.

165 people died that night and more than 200 were injured.  If it had not been for Walter Bailey, the death toll might have been many hundreds more.  Bailey survived, and was rightly acclaimed as a true hero.

News photo of fire from Dark Records https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsVhUYdOVaI

The tragedy stands as a stark illustration of the Bystander Effect.  When responsibility diffuses across a crowd, action stalls.  Even with a clear warning and open doors, collective hesitation can become fatal.

But think about this for a moment.  When was the last time you chose to ignore a fire alarm because no-one else was moving?  How often do you assume a fire alarm is literally a false alarm?  In a school board meeting or a staff meeting, how often do you wait to gauge other people’s reactions before deciding whether or not a threatened crisis might be real or not?

On 15th March 2020 I was in Yangon, Myanmar (formerly Rangoon, Burma) to undertake field research for “Our Dynamic Planet”, a textbook for IB Diploma Geography I was revising at the time.  Two days earlier, while I was on my way there, the World Health Organisation had declared a new virus known as COVID-19 to be a global pandemic.  On the following day (16th March) my country’s government effectively ordered all citizens who were overseas to return home and self-isolate to two weeks.

As far as we knew at the time, “only” about 2,500 people outside China had died from the new virus, mostly in Italy, Iran and Spain, and certainly no-one in Myanmar.  For those around me in Myanmar, the risk felt very distant.  As you can in the photo below, the streets were crowded, no-one wore masks, and everyone was living their lives as they had always done.  The taxi driver who took me to the airport as I left to return home sagely explained that Myanmar would not experience the virus because there was not much air conditioning there, unlike neighbouring Thailand where there had been several cases (and even one death) because air conditioning was spreading the virus.

Maha Bandoola Road, Yangon, looking towards the Sule Pagoda, March 2020.

Of course, the COVID-19 virus did not remain a distant threat for long.  The coronavirus was far too contagious for that (and, for the record, it didn’t need air conditioning to spread).  Like the fire in the Supper Club in Cincinnati, it was spreading everywhere across the world at an accelerating rate.

The same book that I was researching while I was in Yangon was also to contain a detailed study of global pandemics, so it should be no surprise that I used the-then emerging COVID-19 pandemic as my example.  I recorded data of the pandemic’s spread on a daily basis for more than three years.  According to official figures, 6,635 people had died world-wide from COVID-19 when I was in Yangon.  By 31st March 2023 when I stopped collecting statistics, that number had reached more than 6.8 million people.

Graph, source: Worldometer.
Graph, source: Worldometer.

How I reacted in the early stages of the pandemic provided another insight into the Bystander Effect.  I paid close attention to the expert commentary – I was, after all, writing a book chapter about the emerging contagion so I felt an obligation to understand, and even explain, what was happening.  One expert claimed that the virus might kill 1 in 10 people who became infected.  Another said the fatality rate would be more like 1 in 100, or maybe even as low as 1 in 200.

It was clear that no-one knew for sure, so I did what everyone else did, which was to wait and watch what everyone else was doing.  (Actually, I didn’t have much choice, as I lived in a city where government-imposed lockdowns forbade travel and required everyone to isolate for several months).  Like others, my wife and I stayed indoors except for short-distance trips to buy essential food.  We stockpiled increasingly scarce toilet paper, my wife started growing vegetables in the back yard, I conducted my teacher-education courses online from my home study, and I wore masks when going for short exercise walks around the block.  I took my cues from those around me as every authentic, obedient social being was expected to do.

Maha Bandoola Road, Yangon, looking towards the Sule Pagoda, March 2020.

I wonder whether I (and others) might have acted differently in early 2020 if we had been told with inerrant authority that during the next three years, about 110 million people around the world would catch a newly emerged virus and that it would kill 6.8 million of those people, that global travel would grind to halt, that global supply chains would be so disrupted that they would not have fully recovered by 2026, that government spending in many countries would skyrocket to prevent a collapse of the world’s financial system, and that governments in several countries would topple as populations inflicted their revenge on unpopular administrations.  

I wonder whether school leaders would have reacted differently in 2020 if they had known with certainty what some of the impacts of the coming pandemic would be on students’ learning: shorter attention spans, greater reliance on adult direction, lower tolerance for boredom, reduced stamina for engaging in critical thinking and sustained conversations, addiction to screens, rise in mental health issues, and so on.  How might we have all responded?

Upon reflection, just like the patrons in the Beverly Hills Supper Club, I think we all wanted to be a little more certain that there really was a problem before committing ourselves to serious action.

I wonder how many Heads of School and members of school boards today are similarly confused into inaction when confronted with a huge, new, unexpected situation, especially when the unforeseen circumstance shows potential to spiral into a crisis or even catastrophe.

For Heads of Schools and board members, paralysis in the form of the Bystander Effect when faced with a sudden, escalating threat can easily metastasise into crisis.  In high-stakes educational environments, where student safety, community trust, and institutional reputation are at risk, waiting for “someone else” to interpret the moment or take the first step is itself a decision, and almost always the wrong one. 

Decisive leadership demands that the risk be identified and named early, even when information may be incomplete, at which point routine governance needs to shift into crisis mode.  In a practical sense, that involves clarifying and publicising who holds authority, activating pre-agreed emergency protocols, communicating with staff and the wider school community transparently and frequently, and assigning explicit responsibilities.  Calm, visible action, grounded in the school’s mission and values, and supported by clear structures, breaks the paralysis of collective hesitation caused by the Bystander Effect, and signals to the whole community that leadership is alert, transparent, accountable, and in command.

- Dr Stephen Codrington

References:

Stephen Codrington (2021) Our Dynamic Planet 2nd ed.. See pp.672-684 (the COVID-19 pandemic) and pp.702-710 (Economic and residential land use in Yangon)

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford: Fire at The Beverly Hills Supper Club (Update), 25 Jul 2025

News video of fire from Dark Records 

Wikipedia on the Beverly Hills Supper Club Fire.

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